Abstract: Exploratory modeling is the use of computational experiments to assist in reasoning about systems with significant uncertainty. While frequently confused with the use of models to consolidate knowledge into a package that is used to predict system behavior, exploratory modeling represents a very different kind of use, which requires a different methodology for model development. This paper distinguishes these two broad classes of uses for models, describes the methodology of exploratory modeling, and suggests needed technological innovations.
Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis